Tuesday, March 11, 2008

China Transportation - Subway or Rapid Transit?

Earlier this week, the following story about Wuhan's subway system expansion really struck me,

"City In Central China Plans To Spend $40B On Subway System...Wuhan, capital of Hubei province, plans to spend CNY300 billion (US$40 billion) to expand its subway system, Xinhua said. It will be extended from seven to 12 lines with 309 stations by 2015. Once the expansion is finished, 66% of the city's 8.7 million people will be able to find a subway station within 600 meters of their home, Xinhua said." [1]

Certainly for China's mega cities, of which Wuhan truly belongs in the mix, building a massive underground system is in order and will effectively reduce congestion in the years to come. But, what about China's smaller cities? Does the benefit outweigh the cost for cities such as Qingdao, Dalian, and Shenyang? Are there better and cheaper alternatives for Wuxi, Changzhou, Suzhou, and Hangzhou?

Yesterday, I was given a fantastic opportunity to put that in perspective when I visited with Professor Ralph Gakenheimer of the MIT's School of Architecture and Urban Planning. Dr. Gakenheimer specializes in urban planning and transportation planning and brought to my attention an interesting alternative to subway lines that has really caught on in Latin America, Europe, and increasingly the North America and Asia. That system is something called Rapid Bus Transit, or Rapid Transit. What happens in a system like this is that the municipality builds an extra lane exclusively for buses that will stop only at express points in a city or along a highway. To get on and off the bus, you need to have entered similar to a subway where your fare is already paid so that passengers get on and off the bus quickly. Dr. Gakenheimer says average stop times are reduced to 20 seconds and falling.

But, the real advantage to the system is the cost savings it offers a local government. Subway lines cost approximately $100 million per mile in the US (costs for China are unavailable). Rapid transit lanes, however, cost between $10 and $15 million, representing savings of between 85% and 90%. That is a tremendous savings and Professor Gakenheimer indicated that many of China's emerging 2nd and 3rd-tier cities that are dreaming of subway systems would be better suited to start preparing to build these alternative and more cost effective systems.


[1] 3 March 2008, Dow Jones International News (c) 2008 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.


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